The NFL Conference Championship kicks-off Sunday’s NFL betting schedule as the defending champion Seattle Seahawks host the Green Bay Packers. Online betting giant Bovada.lv currently has the Seahawks as 7.5-point favorites and the over-under set at 47.
At first glance, the seven and a hook appear to be a ton of points to give a Packers squad that are 8-1 over their last nine games. However, despite the Packers’ hot-streak, the Seahawks have been even more impressive. Over their last seven games, Seattle is a flawless 7-0. More impressive, each of their seven victories was by double-digits; the average margin of victory was 15.6 points per game. The Seahawks opponents averaged just eight points during this span. With one-sided decisions like that, it should surprise nobody that the Russell Wilson lead Seahawks were 6-0-1 against the spread during this stretch.
Despite Aaron Rodgers heroics last weekend, leading his Packers to a 26-21 victory over the Dallas Cowboys, it was obvious that his injured calf impacted his play. The usually mobile Packers’ signal caller rushed three times for negative four yards. His below zero output was his worst rushing performance of the season, having averaged almost 17 rushing yards per game during the regular season. But this is Aaron Rodgers we are talking about, arguably the best passer in the NFL.
An NFL playoff betting trend that always needs to be analyzed is underdogs getting a touchdown or more. Last weekend the dogs of a touchdown or more covered two out of their three games, increasing the covering rate to 14-7 the last 21 times the dog was getting seven plus. During the same time span, dating back nine years, Conference Championship dogs of seven or more covered four out of five. In other words, those that have bet on big dogs during the playoffs recently have profited nicely.
Packers vs. Seahawks Free Betting Pick
Betting the Packers-Seahawks game is all about getting the best number. While most online betting shops have the betting odds at Seahawks minus-seven, Bovada.lv is giving their bettors extra value at minus-7.5. Despite their Seahawks recent dominance, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are too good and too experienced to be getting over a TD. Take the Packers and the points (+7.5) at Bovada.lv. While you are at it, take the Under (47) as well.